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Red40
85748.0
755826.1
69753.7
Blue61
316130.9
430812.8
68669.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4055020801004061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.2
26.326.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 4.8
30.90.8
28.028.8
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Second
8574
#16
8.00.2
8.07.8
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
blue by 4.9
4308
#12
12.80.8
11.712.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
6975
#27
3.70.2
3.93.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.1
blue by 5.6
6866
#23
9.30.7
8.69.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed