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Red88
752022.5
713620.0
978518.9
Blue49
492024.3
957512.4
219818.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625702040801001201401608849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.5
19.821.3
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 1.7
4920
#10
24.30.3
21.621.4
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
Second
20.01.5
18.119.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 1.2
2198
#11
18.80.2
18.117.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Third
18.91.7
17.218.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
red by 6.5
9575
#17
12.40.2
12.312.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed