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Red48
699215.4
966310.6
697824.3
Blue17
607013.2
95257.1
77228.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49150204060801004817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.1
18.818.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 11.1
6070
#23
13.20.1
7.37.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Second
6992
#12
15.40.2
11.311.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
red by 6.8
7722
#17
8.60.1
3.23.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Third
9663
#22
10.60.2
10.210.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 3.5
9525
#29
7.10.1
7.47.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed