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Red91
270222.4
373913.8
368339.3
Blue72
965911.0
467833.9
702217.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745102040601001201409172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.7
30.632.3
Auto15.6
Teleop22.3
End1.4
red by 5.4
33.92.6
23.425.9
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
Second
2702
#14
22.41.7
20.822.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
red by 4.9
7022
#16
17.51.5
16.818.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
3739
#25
13.82.8
12.515.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.2
red by 2.8
9659
#26
11.01.5
8.910.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed