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Red67
136018.1
956215.1
502433.5
Blue53
260922.0
808920.9
750914.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595101001502006753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.0
29.330.2
Auto14.8
Teleop17.1
End1.6
red by 11.6
22.00.3
19.519.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Second
1360
#10
18.11.0
15.216.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 2.8
20.90.3
15.415.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
9562
#19
15.11.0
8.29.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 0.9
7509
#30
14.20.5
12.612.1
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned