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Red34
461710.0
68759.8
699215.4
Blue70
447628.4
697824.3
906221.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357102060801001203470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#12
15.40.5
11.511.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 13.0
28.40.3
24.024.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End2.6
Second
4617
#20
10.00.5
12.011.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 14.3
24.30.3
18.919.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
6875
#24
9.80.5
12.912.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 11.6
9062
#18
21.40.3
17.417.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed