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Red20
77228.6
966310.6
67257.0
Blue104
368339.3
616213.9
490318.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1966040608010012020104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9663
#22
10.60.6
10.49.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 28.7
39.31.0
32.333.3
Auto15.6
Teleop22.3
End1.4
Second
7722
#17
8.60.3
3.12.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 9.8
4903
#15
18.41.7
13.114.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
Third
6725
#27
7.00.6
9.48.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 6.9
13.91.7
8.510.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned