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Red39
467833.9
95257.1
87658.5
Blue62
702217.5
375610.6
373913.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464530405060703962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
25.925.7
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
red by 16.4
7022
#16
17.50.1
18.318.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
8765
#28
8.50.1
7.37.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
blue by 5.3
3739
#25
13.80.1
15.315.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
9525
#29
7.10.1
7.47.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 3.5
3756
#13
10.60.1
7.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned