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Red65
491728.2
607013.2
591224.9
Blue46
965911.0
270222.4
77214.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565101001502002503006546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.7
22.723.3
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 5.9
2702
#14
22.40.0
22.522.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
5912
#11
24.90.7
20.020.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 10.3
772
#21
14.60.1
13.713.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
6070
#23
13.20.7
7.27.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 2.3
9659
#26
11.00.0
10.410.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed