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Red75
461710.0
447628.4
808920.9
Blue39
77228.6
616213.9
260922.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801007539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.6
24.325.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End2.6
red by 6.5
22.00.1
19.219.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Second
20.91.6
15.116.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 7.0
13.90.2
10.210.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Third
4617
#20
10.02.7
11.514.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 1.4
7722
#17
8.60.1
2.82.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed