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Red73
699215.4
467833.9
77214.6
Blue49
697824.3
607013.2
702217.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635130407080901007349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.5
30.031.6
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
red by 9.7
24.30.1
21.821.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
6992
#12
15.41.5
12.714.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 2.1
7022
#16
17.50.1
18.018.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
772
#21
14.61.5
12.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 1.4
6070
#23
13.20.1
7.77.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed