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Red48
616213.9
68759.8
270222.4
Blue30
67257.0
87658.5
375610.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060801004830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#14
22.40.3
22.722.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
red by 11.7
3756
#13
10.62.0
11.89.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Second
13.90.4
10.410.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 5.4
8765
#28
8.51.2
8.27.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
Third
6875
#24
9.80.4
11.211.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
6725
#27
7.02.0
8.46.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed