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Red87
591224.9
490318.4
697824.3
Blue82
502433.5
461710.0
467833.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63882040801001201408782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.91.0
22.323.3
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 9.0
33.90.6
31.632.1
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
Second
24.31.0
21.922.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 9.2
33.50.4
32.733.0
Auto14.8
Teleop17.1
End1.6
Third
4903
#15
18.41.7
15.817.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
red by 8.4
4617
#20
10.00.6
12.513.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned