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Red38
373913.8
965911.0
808920.9
Blue61
906221.4
616213.9
956215.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5139102030607080903861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.4
17.417.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 0.5
9062
#18
21.41.5
16.518.0
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Second
3739
#25
13.80.7
16.415.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 1.3
9562
#19
15.11.5
9.410.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
9659
#26
11.00.4
10.710.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 2.9
13.92.5
10.813.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed