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Red28
77214.6
77228.6
87658.5
Blue28
95257.1
750914.2
375610.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801002828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#21
14.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 0.4
7509
#30
14.2
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Second
7722
#17
8.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 2.1
3756
#13
10.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Third
8765
#28
8.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
red by 1.4
9525
#29
7.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed