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Red78
491728.2
68759.8
270222.4
Blue30
966310.6
77214.6
95257.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69310204060801007830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.2
25.526.7
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 13.6
772
#21
14.60.2
15.215.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Second
2702
#14
22.41.2
21.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
red by 11.8
9663
#22
10.60.2
11.511.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
6875
#24
9.81.8
10.312.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 2.7
9525
#29
7.10.2
5.65.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed