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Red70
750914.2
67257.0
467833.9
Blue78
808920.9
699215.4
591224.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362507080907078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.3
35.737.0
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
red by 9.0
5912
#11
24.90.9
24.225.1
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
7509
#30
14.21.4
15.016.3
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 6.7
20.90.9
18.018.9
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
6725
#27
7.01.3
6.07.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 8.5
6992
#12
15.41.3
13.715.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned