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Red77
375610.6
260922.0
502433.5
Blue39
966310.6
270222.4
906221.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73592040801001201407739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.5
32.732.2
Auto14.8
Teleop17.1
End1.6
red by 11.2
2702
#14
22.41.1
23.022.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
22.00.5
20.620.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 0.6
9062
#18
21.41.1
20.719.6
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Third
3756
#13
10.60.7
11.210.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Level
9663
#22
10.61.4
11.39.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed