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Red70
467833.9
616213.9
697824.3
Blue68
95257.1
808920.9
368339.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88684060801001201407068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.7
37.036.3
Auto13.0
Teleop15.7
End5.3
blue by 5.4
39.30.1
39.939.8
Auto15.6
Teleop22.3
End1.4
Second
24.30.5
25.024.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 3.4
20.90.1
18.918.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
13.90.7
15.514.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 6.8
9525
#29
7.10.1
5.55.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed