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Red54
808920.9
87658.5
136018.1
Blue97
447628.4
702217.5
966310.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060805497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.6
12.213.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 7.5
28.42.2
20.622.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End2.6
Second
1360
#10
18.11.6
11.713.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 0.6
7022
#16
17.52.2
13.916.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
8765
#28
8.51.6
6.58.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
blue by 2.1
9663
#22
10.61.8
14.712.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed