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Red62
591224.9
965911.0
260922.0
Blue31
375610.6
491728.2
490318.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49544060706231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.91.2
18.920.1
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 3.3
28.21.3
23.021.7
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
Second
22.01.2
18.019.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 3.6
4903
#15
18.42.1
16.714.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
Third
9659
#26
11.01.2
7.78.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
red by 0.3
3756
#13
10.62.1
8.66.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed