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Red71
77214.6
591224.9
260922.0
Blue52
270222.4
702217.5
808920.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676840506080901001107152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.90.2
24.725.0
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 2.6
2702
#14
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
22.00.2
21.822.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 1.1
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
772
#21
14.60.2
14.414.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 2.9
7022
#16
17.50.2
17.717.5
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1