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Red51
697824.3
461710.0
490318.4
Blue74
491728.2
906221.4
375610.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57672040801001205174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 3.9
28.20.0
28.028.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
Second
4903
#15
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
blue by 3.0
9062
#18
21.40.0
21.221.1
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Third
4617
#20
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 0.6
3756
#13
10.60.0
10.410.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0