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Red59
375610.6
906221.4
491728.2
Blue73
260922.0
591224.9
77214.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666655607075805973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.0
28.028.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 3.3
5912
#11
24.90.3
24.424.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
9062
#18
21.40.0
21.221.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 0.6
22.00.3
21.521.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Third
3756
#13
10.60.0
10.410.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
blue by 4.0
772
#21
14.60.3
14.114.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8