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Red61
373913.8
607013.2
699215.4
Blue70
270222.4
77228.6
808920.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801006170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#12
15.40.4
15.015.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 7.0
2702
#14
22.40.4
22.222.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
3739
#25
13.80.4
13.313.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 7.1
20.90.4
20.721.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
6070
#23
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 4.7
7722
#17
8.60.4
8.18.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5