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Red60
587010.8
285216.8
613515.0
Blue58
124610.8
568912.5
492024.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40482060801006058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#24
16.80.1
15.115.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 7.4
24.10.1
27.427.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.1
End0.5
Second
6135
#10
15.00.1
9.29.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 2.5
5689
#23
12.50.1
9.99.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
5870
#20
10.80.1
12.812.7
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Level
1246
#25
10.80.1
5.55.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed