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Red52
568912.5
490320.1
687512.1
Blue24
58348.2
124610.8
587010.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442502060805224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
17.217.5
Auto9.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 9.3
5870
#20
10.80.3
12.712.4
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Second
5689
#23
12.50.3
9.910.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 1.7
1246
#25
10.80.3
5.65.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
Third
6875
#18
12.10.3
10.110.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 3.9
5834
#27
8.20.3
6.56.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed