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Red31
285216.8
490730.2
468814.6
Blue19
966314.7
495111.4
87899.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions722504060801001203119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.9
30.929.0
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
red by 15.5
9663
#15
14.70.7
10.59.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Second
2852
#24
16.81.9
15.013.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 5.3
4951
#31
11.40.7
11.710.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
4688
#12
14.61.9
13.511.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 5.1
8789
#16
9.50.7
6.05.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed