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Red27
67259.7
966314.7
124610.8
Blue26
55967.3
375615.1
285216.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2436060801002726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9663
#15
14.70.3
9.710.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 2.1
2852
#24
16.80.3
13.112.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
1246
#25
10.80.3
5.25.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 4.3
3756
#22
15.10.3
9.99.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
6725
#29
9.70.3
8.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.2
red by 2.4
5596
#30
7.30.3
8.07.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed