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Red78
490730.2
588526.0
87899.5
Blue43
699219.6
263416.2
77218.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62482040801001207843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.9
29.029.9
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
red by 10.6
6992
#19
19.60.5
16.916.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Second
26.00.9
20.020.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 7.9
772
#13
18.20.5
15.414.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
8789
#16
9.50.9
5.36.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.4
blue by 6.7
2634
#14
16.20.5
12.812.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed