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Red40
494015.6
468814.6
95278.7
Blue51
492024.1
66329.9
687512.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305802040801001204051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#11
15.60.6
12.012.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 8.5
24.10.1
27.027.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.1
End0.5
Second
4688
#12
14.60.6
11.612.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 2.5
6875
#18
12.10.1
10.410.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
9527
#17
8.71.0
7.28.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 1.2
6632
#26
9.90.1
11.611.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed