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Red64
568912.5
616217.2
888424.3
Blue96
467835.0
808120.7
613515.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456902060801001206496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.0
19.020.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
blue by 10.6
35.02.4
31.734.1
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
6162
#21
17.21.0
14.315.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 3.5
20.72.4
18.921.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
5689
#23
12.51.0
10.311.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 2.5
6135
#10
15.02.4
8.811.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned