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Red39
77218.2
808120.7
568912.5
Blue24
66329.9
285216.8
616217.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55422060801003924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
21.320.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 3.5
6162
#21
17.21.4
15.313.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Second
772
#13
18.20.6
14.914.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 1.4
2852
#24
16.81.4
12.811.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
5689
#23
12.50.6
11.811.2
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 2.7
6632
#26
9.91.4
11.710.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed