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Red22
95278.7
87899.5
55967.3
Blue60
588526.0
888424.3
494015.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206704060801001202260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8789
#16
9.50.8
6.75.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.4
blue by 16.5
26.00.4
21.421.8
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
9527
#17
8.71.3
9.17.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 15.7
24.30.4
20.220.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
Third
5596
#30
7.30.8
7.87.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 8.3
4940
#11
15.60.4
13.113.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed