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Red29
495111.4
808120.7
58348.2
Blue50
87899.5
66329.9
467835.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256020801002950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.7
21.420.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
blue by 14.3
35.00.0
31.831.8
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
4951
#31
11.40.7
11.110.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 1.6
6632
#26
9.90.0
10.510.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
5834
#27
8.20.7
7.36.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 1.3
8789
#16
9.50.0
7.07.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned