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Red28
587010.8
966314.7
375615.1
Blue58
888424.3
490730.2
490320.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782020601001202858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3756
#22
15.10.7
12.912.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 15.1
30.20.7
29.528.7
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Second
9663
#15
14.70.7
13.212.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 9.6
24.30.7
22.021.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
Third
5870
#20
10.80.7
12.912.1
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 9.3
20.10.7
17.716.9
Auto9.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed