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Red59
616217.2
468814.6
588526.0
Blue43
699219.6
124610.8
285216.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801005943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.3
22.923.3
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 6.4
6992
#19
19.60.3
19.119.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Second
6162
#21
17.20.3
14.715.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End0.7
red by 0.4
2852
#24
16.80.3
13.613.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
4688
#12
14.60.3
14.514.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 3.8
1246
#25
10.80.3
6.06.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed