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Red66
490730.2
568912.5
494015.6
Blue49
490320.1
494633.6
808120.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568420401001201406649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.1
28.728.6
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
blue by 3.4
33.61.6
35.133.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Second
4940
#11
15.60.1
13.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 5.1
20.71.6
20.719.1
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
5689
#23
12.50.1
12.011.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 7.6
20.11.6
16.915.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed