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Red43
699219.6
613515.0
495111.4
Blue69
263416.2
687512.1
467835.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46642040801004369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#19
19.60.0
19.419.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 15.3
35.00.2
31.832.1
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
6135
#10
15.00.0
13.813.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 1.1
2634
#14
16.20.2
13.013.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
4951
#31
11.40.0
10.410.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 0.7
6875
#18
12.10.2
10.911.1
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned