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Red78
699219.6
568912.5
467835.0
Blue42
55967.3
888424.3
66329.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7639020601001207842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.9
33.234.1
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 10.6
24.30.1
22.822.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
Second
6992
#19
19.60.9
19.120.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
red by 9.8
6632
#26
9.90.1
9.89.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
5689
#23
12.50.9
12.213.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 5.2
5596
#30
7.30.1
7.47.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed