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Red67
490320.1
494015.6
616217.2
Blue63
375615.1
467835.0
495111.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5265204060801006763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.2
18.820.1
Auto9.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 14.8
35.00.4
34.134.4
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
6162
#21
17.21.2
15.216.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End0.7
red by 2.1
3756
#22
15.10.4
14.615.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
4940
#11
15.61.2
14.415.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 4.2
4951
#31
11.40.4
8.69.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned