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Red66
263416.2
285216.8
95278.7
Blue59
687512.1
55967.3
490730.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060806659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#24
16.81.3
15.516.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 13.4
30.20.3
28.027.7
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Second
2634
#14
16.21.3
14.816.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End2.2
red by 4.0
6875
#18
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
9527
#17
8.71.4
7.28.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
5596
#30
7.30.3
7.67.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed