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Red44
808120.7
966314.7
58348.2
Blue57
468814.6
494633.6
492024.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418902060801001201404457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
19.819.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
blue by 12.9
33.61.2
34.233.1
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Second
9663
#15
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 9.5
24.11.2
24.523.4
Auto10.6
Teleop13.1
End0.5
Third
5834
#27
8.20.1
8.28.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 6.4
4688
#12
14.61.2
15.714.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed