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Red81
587010.8
494633.6
467835.0
Blue34
87899.5
58348.2
966314.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions952704060801201401608134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.0
34.434.4
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 20.3
9663
#15
14.70.1
14.714.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Second
33.60.0
33.133.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 24.1
8789
#16
9.50.1
9.59.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Third
5870
#20
10.80.0
10.310.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
red by 2.6
5834
#27
8.20.1
8.38.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End0.7