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Red39
494015.6
687512.1
373919.9
Blue44
66329.9
468814.6
699219.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37420102030506070803944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
14.014.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 0.2
6992
#19
19.60.5
15.315.8
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Second
4940
#11
15.60.3
10.510.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 1.0
4688
#12
14.60.5
13.013.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Third
6875
#18
12.10.3
9.710.1
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 2.3
6632
#26
9.90.5
8.79.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed