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Red44
495111.4
55967.3
588526.0
Blue48
808120.7
54085.8
888424.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40482060801004448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.4
17.117.6
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 1.7
24.30.2
19.119.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
Second
4951
#31
11.40.4
11.211.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 9.3
20.70.2
16.716.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
5596
#30
7.30.4
9.09.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 1.5
5408
#28
5.80.2
7.17.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed