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Red80
184414.0
1540B17.8
247128.4
Blue90
1540K15.6
36369.4
669618.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603901001502008090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.1
24.825.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.4
End3.8
red by 10.2
18.20.7
18.319.0
Auto1.9
Teleop15.6
End0.7
Second
1540B
Unranked
17.81.8
18.320.1
Auto-1.3
Teleop15.2
End3.9
red by 2.3
15.61.1
8.810.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Third
1844
#10
14.01.8
8.810.6
Auto-4.2
Teleop16.4
End1.8
red by 4.6
9.40.7
10.611.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed