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Red37
263513.1
2374B13.4
404326.7
Blue96
644329.2
9975.9
367423.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657201002003004003796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#17
26.71.9
30.929.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.6
blue by 2.5
29.20.7
31.230.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Second
13.43.1
14.811.6
Auto-2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 10.1
23.50.7
22.121.4
Auto2.2
Teleop18.9
End2.4
Third
13.11.9
13.611.7
Auto0.3
Teleop8.2
End4.6
red by 7.3
997
#12
5.90.7
11.010.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed