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Red91
644328.7
142521.7
237414.0
Blue58
703414.6
154018.9
281128.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080909158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.4
28.428.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
28.90.1
29.429.3
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Second
21.70.4
21.321.7
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 2.7
18.90.1
19.419.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Third
2374
#16
14.00.4
13.714.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 0.6
7034
#12
14.60.1
15.115.0
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9