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Red75
644328.7
142521.7
237414.0
Blue52
281128.9
154018.9
703414.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080907552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
28.828.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
28.90.4
29.328.9
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Second
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 2.7
18.90.4
19.318.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Third
2374
#16
14.00.0
14.114.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 0.6
7034
#12
14.60.4
15.014.6
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9